Acquired immune deficiency syndrome projections in England and Wales: Interplay of methodology and data

D. De Angelis*, N. E. Day, Owen Gill

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Since the late 1980s, regular monitoring of the human immunodeficiency virus epidemic in England and Wales has been carried out through the work of successive national working groups. One of their tasks has been to provide short-term projections of the incidence of acquired immune deficiency syndrome. In this paper the data and methods used in this projection work are reviewed and results critically assessed with the aim of highlighting the strong interaction between methodological developments and data acquisition.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)167-176
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society
Volume161
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1998

Keywords

  • Acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS)
  • AIDS projections in England and Wales
  • Back-calculation
  • HIV epidemic in England and Wales
  • HIV prevalence
  • Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)
  • Methodology for AIDS projections and data acquisition

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