Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

Thomas Griffin, Raymond Gani*, Douglas Fleming, Ian Hall, Charles Penn, Stephen Leach

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Work to estimate the spatial/temporal spread of pandemic influenza across the UK and assessing of the relative impact of different intervention strategies on the estimated burden of disease is being conducted at the Health Protection Agency-Porton Down in order to aid the formulation of the UK pandemic influenza plan. Two separate modelling strategies have been employed: a static model to assess levels of morbidity and mortality within different age and risk groups and a spatial-temporal model for spatially referenced intervention strategies. Here, we show how these modelling strategies are being applied and discuss how they can be combined to further extend their utility.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)243-246
Number of pages4
JournalInternational Congress Series
Volume1263
Issue numberC
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2004

Keywords

  • Epidemic modelling
  • Pandemic influenza
  • Pandemic planning

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