Trends in human immunodeficiency virus diagnoses among men who have sex with men in North America, Western Europe, and Australia, 2000–2014

Johanna Chapin-Bardales*, Axel J. Schmidt, Rebecca J. Guy, John M. Kaldor, Skye McGregor, André Sasse, Chris Archibald, Claudia Rank, Jordi Casabona Barbarà, Cinta Folch, Núria Vives, Susan A. Cowan, Françoise Cazein, Annie Velter, Matthias an der Heiden, Barbara Gunsenheimer-Bartmeyer, Ulrich Marcus, Eline L.M. Op de Coul, Ard van Sighem, Isabel AldirHelena Cortes Martins, Torsten Berglund, Inga Velicko, Martin Gebhardt, Valerie Delpech, Gwenda Hughes, Anthony Nardone, H. Irene Hall, Anna S. Johnson, Patrick S. Sullivan

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

13 Citations (Scopus)


Purpose: The aim of the article was to investigate recent trends in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) diagnosis rates among men who have sex with men (MSM) in high-income countries in North America, Western Europe, and Australia. Methods: Data on annual rates of HIV diagnoses among MSM aged 15 to 65 years from 2000 to 2014 were collected from 13 high-income countries. Joinpoint regression software was used to empirically determine country-specific trend periods. Trends in HIV diagnosis rates and in the proportion of diagnoses occurring in young MSM aged 15 to 24 years were analyzed using Poisson regression and log-binomial regression, respectively. Results: Six countries experienced an increasing trend from 2000 to 2007-08 followed by either a stable or declining trend through 2014. Five countries had recently increasing trends, and two countries had one stable trend from 2000 to 2014. All 13 countries experienced increases in the proportion of diagnoses occurring in young MSM. Conclusions: Since 2008, half of the 13 high-income countries examined experienced stable or decreasing trends. Still, some countries continue to experience increasing HIV trends, and young MSM are increasingly represented among new diagnoses. Efforts to support early sexual health promotion, reduce barriers to pre-exposure prophylaxis, and improve care engagement for young MSM are critical to addressing current HIV trends.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)874-880
Number of pages7
JournalAnnals of Epidemiology
Issue number12
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2018

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
The authors would like to acknowledge the following additional agencies and individuals that provided HIV, STI, and/or behavioral surveillance data for this work: the Division of STD Prevention of the United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the provincial and territorial authorities of Canada, the EMIS Network with funding by the EU Health Programme 2008?2013, Maria Axelsson of the Public Health Agency of Sweden (Stockholm, Sweden), Hamish Mohammed and Alison Brown of Public Health England, the Federal Agency for Health Promotion of Germany, Michael Bochow from the Berlin Social Science Center, Jochen Drewes and Martin Kruspe from the Free University of Berlin, and Stphanie Lociciro, Raph?l Bize, Andr? Jeannin, and Fran?oise Dubois-Arber from the Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine in Switzerland.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2018 Elsevier Inc.


  • HIV
  • HIV diagnoses
  • HIV trends
  • High-income countries
  • International


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